Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 2.788906 2.930901 3.079936 3.248674 3.435225 3.636107 3.870063
2025-04-20 2.562684 2.756306 2.968655 3.221056 3.515932 3.853513 4.275268
2025-04-27 2.402644 2.633076 2.895117 3.219848 3.618478 4.101995 4.750155
2025-05-04 2.299543 2.562992 2.872686 3.271963 3.786688 4.449664 5.410437
2025-05-11 2.190176 2.474809 2.818685 3.277219 3.894476 4.735069 6.050967
2025-05-18 2.082437 2.379375 2.746262 3.249563 3.953114 4.961056 6.661444
2025-05-25 1.957052 2.253032 2.624399 3.144051 3.890374 5.000683 6.987090
2025-06-01 1.869048 2.168328 2.549814 3.094812 3.900516 5.150152 7.543929
2025-06-08 1.799089 2.102396 2.494881 3.066978 3.937381 5.346343 8.253535
2025-06-15 1.748325 2.058308 2.465701 3.072169 4.023742 5.639161 9.280004
2025-06-22 1.679154 1.986116 2.393511 3.008232 3.992401 5.717743 9.860893
2025-06-29 1.601355 1.899018 2.296242 2.900195 3.878323 5.625489 9.985665
2025-07-06 1.525467 1.815817 2.206369 2.806817 3.795946 5.613263 10.430174
2025-07-13 1.489994 1.786203 2.190692 2.826036 3.908240 6.013870 12.384971
2025-07-20 1.459490 1.761964 2.181281 2.854426 4.041795 6.501837 15.266772
2025-07-27 1.440630 1.752889 2.193184 2.917915 4.250266 7.236512 20.772675
2025-08-03 1.411382 1.727639 2.179448 2.937894 4.379697 7.836634 28.007843
2025-08-10 1.376344 1.692489 2.148705 2.926376 4.444765 8.297037 37.502361
2025-08-17 1.327207 1.635117 2.081284 2.846652 4.357856 8.286856 42.338770
2025-08-24 1.291670 1.596233 2.040559 2.810820 4.360587 8.563587 56.445132
2025-08-31 1.262184 1.565073 2.010282 2.791161 4.396119 8.969848 89.098332
2025-09-07 1.240545 1.544579 1.995585 2.798154 4.492541 9.646879 261.513055
2025-09-14 1.207281 1.505756 1.950227 2.746034 4.445678 9.769241 828.871643